The Darkest Five‑Match Opening in the Premier League
When the Premier League fixtures were released on June 18, one thing became abundantly clear: Manchester United face the toughest opening five games of any team this season. Opta’s Power Ratings peg the average difficulty of their opening opponents at 94.6 — the highest in the league.
Their first five matches?
- Arsenal (Home)
- Fulham (Away)
- Burnley (Home)
- Manchester City (Away, derby)
- Chelsea (Home)
That sequence pits United against three of the top-four sides from last season, including a fierce derby, and a newly promoted side keen to make its mark. No team who faced a similarly brutal start has flourished early; this block is a potential landmine.
Why a Rocky Start Could Spiral Into Crisis
Manchester United are already under the microscope. After a dismal 2024–25 campaign, finishing 15th, their worst-ever Premier League position, confidence is low. New head coach Ruben Amorim inherited a club ready to implode and has just a few weeks to prove he can steady the ship.
Bookmakers are already jittery: Betfair has shortened odds on a possible sacking before Christmas, citing the brutal early schedule. If United stumble out of the gate, the narrative of “crisis” could explode, and fast. Historically, teams unable to build momentum in the early weeks struggle to recover.
Three Keys to Avoiding the Early Free‑Fall
- Hit Hard on Match-Day 1 vs Arsenal
A statement opener at Old Trafford isn’t just about points, it sets the tone. A strong performance will buy goodwill and signal intent. - Squad Depth & Fitness
Managing the fixture load, especially with a Man City derby on matchday 4, demands rotation and intelligent fitness management. Lack of depth cost United dearly last season; this time, they can’t afford it. - Mental Resilience
Repeated heavy losses harmed morale last season. Now, the team must show emotional maturity, grit, and self belief. A narrow loss to Fulham or a hard‑fought draw could be turned into positive momentum.
The Stakes: Not Just Early Points — Avoiding Panic
Dropping points is one thing; spiraling into panic is another. A slow start could magnify scrutiny of Amorim, spark angry headlines, and turn early opponents into “must‑win” traps. Conversely, even steady performances, grinding out wins or draws, could transform United’s momentum and public perception.
Final Take
United’s opening five fixtures compose the toughest early period in the Premier League by far. But the season doesn’t die early; it lives or dies based on how you respond. With smart planning, morale, and performance, a “crisis‑free” start isn’t just possible, it’s essential.


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